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Q1 2026 Market Brief · May 2026 · Austin Development Watch
State of Austin Land Use — Q1 2026
The full quarterly read on Austin's PC and ZAP pipeline — filings, agents, frameworks, velocity, and outcomes.
Free
Free to read and share · Citation welcome with attribution
The headline numbers
1,427
PC & ZAP hearings tracked, Jan 2023 – May 2026 (782 distinct case groups)
99.8%
Council approval rate across the verified-outcome subset of the 464-case Council overlay
42 days
Median first-hearing to Commission disposition for multi-hearing cases (P90: 126 days)
27%
Share of cases that drew organized opposition
Inside the brief
Twenty-eight months of structured pipeline data — a corpus no other Austin publication is currently producing in this form. The read is that approval is near-universal once the Commission recommends; the meaningful differentiator is velocity and stall risk, not outcome. The brief covers:
- Pipeline volume and the case-group structure behind the raw hearing count.
- The velocity picture — median and P90 elapsed time to disposition, and how DB-90 cases clear far faster (14-day multi-hearing median).
- Organized-opposition mapping, with the top neighborhood groups by case count (MLK 33, Highland 31, Wooten 14).
- Framework context: how DB-90, the Citywide DBC framework, and DDB Phase I are reshaping the pipeline.
What this is — and is not
Is: a market-level quarterly read built entirely from publicly available Commission minutes. Every quantitative claim traces to the tracked record.
Is not: legal advice, firm-specific or file-specific recommendations, or based on any interviews, internal firm sources, or confidential information.
Austin Development Watch · Q1 2026 Market Brief · May 2026
Author: Michael Msebenzi ·
[email protected]
Data source: ADW Cases database, parsed from public City of Austin meeting minutes.